
In Todayβs Issue:
Rareview 2X Bull Cryptocurrency & Precious Metals ETF
Our Next Webinarβ-Cash from Corruption: Profiting Off Washingtonβs Grift Machine
Bad Jobs = Good News? Why the Fed May Be Cornered
Drones, Defense, and the Next Trump Executive Order β The Coming Boom in the βSky Warβ Economy
Wells Unleashed: The $400 Billion Threat to Regional Banks
and moreβ¦β¦..
Cash from Corruption: Profiting Off Washingtonβs Grift Machine
Thu, Jun 26, 2025 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM EDT |
- Two strategies to tap into Washington's grift with limited risk and unlimited upside
- How to use AI to recognize the next top themes before the "smart money" does.
- My simple hedging strategy that takes advantage of the real "dumb money" on Wall Street
To register:
Bad Jobs = Good News? Why the Fed May Be Cornered

Weak ADP data put a damper on the market a bit yesterday. Bond yields fell as traders no doubt thought this might force the Fedβs hand. Still staying away from bonds at the moment as I worry that the fiscal situation puts a cap on any gains. You also have to wonder how much impact the tariff uncertainty will have on the Fedβs timing.

So we watch Fridayβs jobs report with great interest as a weaker than expected number could be a game changer.
Kind of agree with Mohit here, path of least resistance for stocks does seem to be up. Iβve been back to putting small amounts of money to work each day, trying to find the next big theme.
For risky assets, both valuation and macro would argue for caution. Our base case is one of slowing down in the data over coming months. However, the one factor that continues to argue in favour of risky assets is positioning. Our indices suggest that positioning is still mild which would be a tailwind for risky assets. With cash sitting on the sideline, we see the path of least resistance as still higher for risky assets.
The Trumpβs Inner Circle theme has taken some bumps. You have to wonder if Elon is still in the inner circleβ¦.
I exited TSLA when it broke the 10 day anyway.

CLBR has also gotten crushed the past two days (top holding in SPCX)β¦

Just rememberβ¦.
$CLBR looks like some folks are forgetting the 1st rule of MAGA SPACs.
β #SPACzilla (#@SPAC_zilla)
9:40 PM β’ Jun 4, 2025
Speaking of the next theme, I think it could be drones (more below). One name that spans the Trumpβs Inner Circle and drone themes is UMACβ¦..

From GPTβ¦..
Yes, Donald Trump Jr. is officially a member of the advisory board at Unusual Machines Inc. (NYSE American: UMAC), a U.S.-based drone and drone components manufacturer. His appointment was announced on November 27, 2024, and he is also reported to be the company's second-largest shareholder, holding over 330,000 shares.
Unusual Machines is positioning itself as a key player in the U.S. drone industry, focusing on domestic manufacturing to reduce reliance on foreign-made products, particularly from China. The company has recently launched products like the Brave F7 FPV Flight Controller and aims to be a dominant Tier-1 parts supplier in the growing U.S. drone market.
Trump Jr.'s involvement aligns with the company's mission to bring drone manufacturing jobs back to the USA and strengthen domestic supply chains. His role is expected to provide strategic advice and leverage his business network to support Unusual Machines' growth and expansion in the drone sector.
Given the increasing emphasis on domestic drone production and the geopolitical focus on reducing dependence on Chinese technology, Unusual Machines, with Trump Jr.'s backing, could be well-positioned to benefit from potential future executive orders or policies aimed at bolstering the U.S. drone industry.
Drones, Defense, and the Next Trump Executive Order β The Coming Boom in the βSky Warβ Economy
βThe age of the drone is no longer comingβitβs here. And itβs about to become the most investable corner of defense tech since the invention of GPS.β
Thatβs the story behind the Trump administrationβs quiet redirection of critical antidrone technology from Ukraine to U.S. forces. Itβs not just a geopolitical pivotβitβs a flashing neon sign that drones, and the systems designed to counter them, are now central to U.S. defense planning.
And it points to one unmistakable trend: the drone-industrial complex is about to enter hyperdrive.
π° The Real Takeaway From Trumpβs Fuze Transfer
On the surface, this looks like Washington bureaucracy playing favorites. But under the hood, whatβs happening is far more telling:
The Pentagon is deprioritizing Ukraine and rearming U.S. forces in the Middle East with Advanced Precision Kill Weapon Systemsβretrofit rocket tech designed to neutralize drones cheaply and quickly.
This pivot signals that:
Trumpβs next executive order could directly address drone production, countermeasures, or export acceleration.
The Middle East, not Ukraine, is now the primary theater for drone warfare.
The U.S. military is preparing for drone saturation scenariosβthink Houthi and Iranian swarms, not just rogue strikes.
β οΈ The Coming Drone Crisis β And Windfall
While AI gets all the headlines, drones are the overlooked power play in both AI warfare and defense modernization. Just like semiconductors in the AI boom, drones are about to become the bottleneck in the modern battlefield.
And that spells opportunity for early investors who know where to look.
The systems being redirectedβlike the Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System (APKWS) with proximity fuzesβare cheap, scalable, and exactly what the DoD wants more of. Theyβre already being mounted on F-16s and F-15s for one reason: sidewinder missiles are too expensive.
𧨠Winners: The Drone Arms Race Beneficiaries
Hereβs who benefits directly as Trump pivots toward drones and hypersonics:
Company | Ticker | Role | Rating |
---|---|---|---|
Anduril | Private (watch IPO) | Antidrone & autonomous defense platforms | π |
Kratos Defense | KTOS | Drone swarm tech, hypersonics, and directed energy systems | 9 |
AeroVironment | AVAV | Loitering munitions (Switchblade drones), ISR | 8.5 |
Teledyne FLIR | TDY | Drone sensors, surveillance, thermal optics | 8 |
Lockheed Martin | LMT | Integrator of drone systems & interceptors (SkyKeeper, Valkyrie) | 8 |
Northrop Grumman | NOC | Long-range surveillance drones, ISR | 7.5 |
RTX | RTX | Interceptor tech & radar systems (e.g. GhostEye MR) | 7 |
Wildcard: Palantir (PLTR)βAI-enabled drone analytics, battlefield automation (7.5)
β Losers: Left Behind by the Drone Surge
Company | Sector | Why They Lose |
---|---|---|
European defense firms (e.g. BAE, Thales) | NATO delays, no drone production focus | |
General Dynamics | Traditional armored vehicle-heavy portfolio | |
Legacy missile-only suppliers | Losing ground to lower-cost drone countermeasures |
π§ What Comes Next: Executive Order Watch
There is a growing likelihood that Trumpβs next executive order targets drone supply chains. Why?
The administration already named drones a strategic priority via DARPA and DoD planning.
Current capacity canβt meet projected demand across U.S. bases, allies, and export partners.
Swarm attacks in the Red Sea, Ukraine, and potentially Taiwan make this a 2025 issueβnot 2030.
π― Final Take
Betting against drones in this cycle is like shorting semiconductors in 1993.
This isnβt just about Ukraine or Iran. Itβs about a new doctrine of warfare built on autonomy, swarm intelligence, and precision kill-chains. And the U.S. just tipped its hand: weβre going all-in.
The right stocksβthose that make the platforms, fuzes, optics, AI overlays, and sensorsβcould double or triple over the next 12β24 months as DoD spending accelerates and allies rush to catch up.
The war of the future wonβt be fought with tanks. Itβll be fought with airborne software.
Nowβs the time to position.
Wells Unleashed: The $400 Billion Threat to Regional Banks
As you know Iβm not a fan of regional banks, so this caught my eyeβ¦
I had GPT analyze this and interestingly it suggested shorting regional banks (KRE), hard to say if it came to that conclusion on itβs own or it knows me so well and knew I would want it to say that though :)
Wells Fargo just got its muzzle removedβand regional banks should be very worried.
π¨ The Sleeping Giant Awakens
After nearly seven years under a Federal Reserve-imposed asset cap, Wells Fargo (WFC) has been unleashed. The restriction, imposed in 2018 following a series of scandals, limited the bankβs total assets to around $1.95 trillion. This meant that as the rest of the U.S. banking system absorbed hundreds of billions in depositsβespecially during COVID stimulus waves and last yearβs regional banking scareβWells sat on the sidelines.
Now the leash is off.
π₯ Implications for Regional Banks
Wells Fargo is one of the few banks in America with the brand, balance sheet, and branch footprint to pose an existential threat to regionalsβand it just got permission to start punching again. From 2019 to 2024, regional banks added $1 trillion in deposits. Wells? Just $5% growthβfar below the industry. Had it matched national growth, it couldβve added more than $400 billion.
Guess where that money is coming from now?
With the Fed shrinking its balance sheet and no new stimulus coming, new deposits must come from competitors.
Regional banks, which rely heavily on deposit spreads for profits and donβt have large investment banking arms, will be the first to feel the pressure.
Expect a brutal repricing war for retail depositsβespecially as Wells ramps up its push into cash-rich corporate and investment clients.
π₯ Why This Matters Now
In 2023, the regional banking crisis triggered by SVBβs collapse taught us how fragile deposit confidence can be. With Wells now free to offer better terms, slicker digital tools, and more attractive corporate banking solutions, smaller banks could see an exodus of sticky depositsβthe lifeblood of their balance sheets.
Wellsβs strategy is likely to prioritize:
Retail deposits: Theyβre sticky and cost-effective.
Corporate cash management: Where Wells can now aggressively court big clients.
Investment banking cross-sell: Now possible with asset growth unchained.
π Winners and Losers
Stock/Entity | Rating | Comment |
---|---|---|
WFC | β 9/10 | Now free to scale deposit base, gain share across retail and corporate, improve margins. |
JPM, BAC, C | βοΈ 6/10 | Neutral. Face more competition from Wells, but less vulnerable than regionals. |
CFG, RF, FITB, KEY (regionals) | β οΈ 4/10 | At risk of deposit erosion and tighter NIMs. |
TFC, PNC, MTB | π¨ 3/10 | Regionals with heavy reliance on interest spread revenue, vulnerable to Wellsβs aggressive pricing. |
π‘ Strategic Takeaway for Investors
With WFC back in the game, regional bank consolidation could accelerate as smaller players struggle to retain depositors and maintain profitability. For investors, this is a wake-up call:
Trim or hedge regional bank exposure.
Reallocate toward large-cap banks with room to grow, like Wells, which now has both a defensive and offensive position.
Consider inverse or leveraged ETFs tied to regional banks, such as $KRE, as a tactical hedge.
In short: The Fedβs artificial lid on Wells Fargo created a deposit vacuum that helped keep regionals alive. That lid is goneβand the competition is about to get very real.
Before You Go Some Ways I Can Help
ETFs: We offer innovative ETFs that cover all aspects of The H.E.A.T. Formula, Hedges, Edges, and Themes.
Consulting: I'm happy to jump on the phone with financial advisors at no charge. I've built a wealth management firm and helped other advisors grow their practices through the use of substantially differentiated investment strategies. If you want to talk just send me an email at [email protected]
Monthly investing webinars
Rebel Finance Podcast https://www.youtube.com/@TuttleCap
Wealth Management-Coming Soon
Paid Newsletter Service-Coming Soon
The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the Chief Executive Officer and Portfolio Manager for Tuttle Capital Management (TCM) and are subject to change without notice. The data and information provided is derived from sources deemed to be reliable but we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Investing in securities is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. Trade notifications are for informational purposes only. TCM offers fully transparent ETFs and provides trade information for all actively managed ETFs. TCM's statements are not an endorsement of any company or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Trade notification files are not provided until full trade execution at the end of a trading day. The time stamp of the email is the time of file upload and not necessarily the exact time of the trades. TCM is not a commodity trading advisor and content provided regarding commodity interests is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation. Investment recommendations for any securities or product may be made only after a comprehensive suitability review of the investorβs financial situation.Β© 2025 Tuttle Capital Management, LLC (TCM). TCM is a SEC-Registered Investment Adviser. All rights reserved.