It’s the F&*)#ing Catalina Wine Mixer

The 🔥H.E.A.T.🔥 Formula : AI Driven Insights to Spark Your Portfolio

In Today’s Issue:

  • The Rebel Finance Podcast Team on Quasar Market’s Podcast

  • Rareview 2X Bull Cryptocurrency & Precious Metals ETF

  • Our Next Webinar—-Cash from Corruption: Profiting Off Washington’s Grift Machine

  • It’s the F&*)#ing Catalina Wine Mixer

  • Trump’s Sky Surge: The Tiny Drone Stocks Set to Explode After His Executive Order

  • The Jetsons Trade: Why Flying Taxis May Be the Next Asymmetric Bet

  • and more……..

Cash from Corruption: Profiting Off Washington’s Grift Machine

Thu, Jun 26, 2025 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM EDT

- Two strategies to tap into Washington's grift with limited risk and unlimited upside

- How to use AI to recognize the next top themes before the "smart money" does.

- My simple hedging strategy that takes advantage of the real "dumb money" on Wall Street

To register:

It’s the F&*)#ing Catalina Wine Mixer

Path of least resistance is still up, Thank You Barron’s

But Keep An Eye On Jobs….

Due to the ADP release and the soft claims data, the equity market experienced a relief rally on the Nonfarm Payrolls reading exceeding forecasts. That was a mistake, but it is nothing new in an environment that sees everything through rose-colored glasses. The obvious negative in the release was the previous two months being revised lower by 95,000 payrolls. May’s 13,000 payroll beat did not offset the 30,000 jobs revised away from April. Based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ revisions over the past 2½ years, it appears we should anticipate future downward revisions. Since the start of 2023, the average monthly revision from the initial Nonfarm Payrolls release to the final number is a loss of 48,000 payrolls. Additionally, the monthly revision has been to the downside 78% of the time (chart below). The ADP Employment Report has significantly fallen out of favor since it underwent a methodology revision in the summer of 2022. The ADP readings have been entirely inconsistent with the Nonfarm Payrolls readings. However, if one compares the ADP final revision to the NFP’s final reading for Private Sector Nonfarm Payrolls (the number ADP is targeting), the correlation is significantly higher (chart below). In short, the initial release of the Nonfarm Payrolls report is misrepresenting the state of the job market.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be the key leading indicator going forward. If claims remain elevated at current levels, it will slowly wear on equities. If they begin to rise sharply—as they frequently do when a slowdown starts—a more pronounced equity correction will emerge.

Mike O’Rourke, Jones Trading

Bonds Still Suck

In rates, 10Y USTs have moved back towards 4.50%, which is the middle of our expected trading range. We expect 10Y USTs to remain range bound with a range of 4.25% - 4.75% in the coming months. Thus, we are not excited about outright duration play at these levels.

Mohit Kumar, Jefferies

Elon Gets Taken Out of the Trump’s Inner Circle Trade

I shorted Friday’s pop on TSLA, I think Trumps Inner Circle Trade works both ways.

If Elon stays in the doghouse both RKLB and ASTS could be beneficiaries. I owned ASTS already and bought RKLB on a massive dip at the open which made no sense….

The SPAC ticker change trade could be back….

Add Drones to the Mix (more on that below)….

Is Quantum Next?

IONQ is buyable on an undercut and rally at the 20 day EMA….

This continues to be a target rich environment if you focus on the right themes. I haven’t even talked about AI in biotech, gold and silver miners, etc. Cramer just doesn’t get it….

Stupid comment actually, of course there is risk. These companies get extended and then sell off hard. All of these areas are the future though, ignore them and you miss out on a lot. There are smart ways to play them though:

  1. Asymmetrical Risk—You can either use call options so your maximum loss is known, have stop losses, own downside puts, or just make these names a small part of your portfolio.

  2. Swing Trade-Only if you have the time and know how to read a chart.

 Yep….

Trump’s Sky Surge: The Tiny Drone Stocks Set to Explode After His Executive Order

A big part of the Trump Inner Circle trade is trying to figure out what executive orders he might issue. Last week we theorized that drones could be next, then this happened on Friday….

One potential under the radar drone name could be Ondas (ONDS). Wish I could say I found this gem myself but the CEO reached out to me after my drone analysis last week.

I had GPT take a deep dive….

🚀 Ondas Holdings: A Rising Contender in Autonomous Drone Technology

🔧 Core Business Overview

Ondas Holdings operates through two primary divisions:

  1. Ondas Networks: Specializes in private wireless broadband solutions, notably the FullMAX platform, catering to mission-critical applications in sectors like railroads, utilities, and oil & gas.

  2. Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS): Focuses on autonomous drone solutions via subsidiaries American Robotics and Airobotics. Their flagship products include:

    • Optimus System: A fully autonomous "drone-in-a-box" solution, capable of 24/7 operations without on-site human intervention. It's the first FAA-certified small UAS for aerial security and data capture.

    • Iron Drone Raider: An AI-driven counter-drone system designed to neutralize hostile drones, enhancing security for critical infrastructure and defense applications.

📈 Recent Developments and Contracts

  • UAE Expansion: Secured a $3.2 million order to expand the Optimus drone infrastructure in the UAE, supporting public safety and emergency response initiatives.

  • Defense Sector Penetration: Received a $9 million order from a major government military customer for the Iron Drone Raider system, emphasizing its growing footprint in defense applications.

  • Financial Backing: Raised $4.1 million through convertible notes, with the investor having the option to invest an additional $30.4 million, indicating strong institutional confidence.

🏆 Competitive Advantages

  • Regulatory Milestones: Achieved FAA Type Certification for the Optimus System and secured BVLOS (Beyond Visual Line of Sight) waivers, allowing for expanded autonomous operations.

  • Integrated Solutions: Combines autonomous drone technology with proprietary wireless networks, offering end-to-end solutions for data collection, surveillance, and counter-drone measures

  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborated with ResilienX to enhance the safety and reliability of autonomous systems, particularly for BVLOS applications.

💰 Financial Snapshot

  • Market Capitalization: Approximately $129.48 million

  • Stock Performance: Currently trading at $1.58 per share.

  • Revenue Growth: Reported $14.4 million in orders in Q3 2024, reflecting increasing demand for its drone solutions.

🧠 Investment Considerations

Strengths:

  • First-mover advantage in FAA-certified autonomous drone operations.

  • Diverse product portfolio addressing both commercial and defense markets

  • Strong institutional support and recent capital infusion to scale operations.

Risks:

  • Dependence on regulatory approvals and potential changes in drone operation policies.

  • Competition from established aerospace and defense companies entering the drone market.

  • Execution risk in scaling production and fulfilling large orders

Conclusion:

Given the increasing global emphasis on autonomous surveillance, infrastructure monitoring, and defense applications, Ondas Holdings stands out as a promising player in the drone industry. Their technological advancements, regulatory achievements, and strategic contracts position them well for future growth. For investors confident in the drone sector's trajectory, ONDS offers a compelling opportunity with significant upside potential.

Based on current fundamentals, positioning, and upside potential within the drone theme—Ondas Holdings (ONDS) rates an 8/10.

💡 Key Observations:

  • ONDS and RCAT are ultra-speculative with sky-high upside—but also the highest risk.

  • AVAV sits in a sweet spot: solid upside with moderate risk, making it the most balanced tactical drone play.

  • PLTR and TDY are unique as enablers—PLTR with AI for drone intelligence, TDY with sensors and imaging.

  • LMT, RTX, BA are low-risk legacy defense giants. They offer exposure but less upside in pure-drone themes.

This makes ONDS and RCAT ideal if you're seeking early-stage exposure, while AVAV and TDY may anchor a broader drone basket.

📡 The Jetsons Trade: Why Flying Taxis May Be the Next Asymmetric Bet

Hedge fund legend Jason Mudrick made a fortune betting on distressed meme stocks. Now, he’s betting on something most investors still laugh at: flying taxis.

And you should be paying close attention.

Vertical Aerospace (EVTL), the company Mudrick now controls, is developing a sleek, quiet, electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft—the VX4. It’s designed to carry six passengers up to 100 miles, promising New Yorkers a 40-minute hop to the Hamptons for the price of an Uber Black. It sounds futuristic. And it is. But it’s also getting very real, very fast.

🚁 The Case for the Skies

Let’s be clear: the upside here is staggering.

  • Urban gridlock is unsolvable from the ground. Tunneling is too expensive, roads can’t be widened. “You’ve got to go up,” as Mudrick says.

  • Vertical mobility is the only scalable, long-term solution to megacity congestion. The global eVTOL market is projected to grow to $50B+ by 2035.

  • Governments—from the UAE to the U.S.—are laying the groundwork. Dubai is building vertiports. FAA certifications are pending. Even Congress is warming to the infrastructure.

And with Trump’s laser focus on "American dominance in the skies," don’t be surprised if his next executive order promotes the drone and eVTOL industries together.

🛠️ What Makes Vertical Aerospace Different

Unlike rivals Joby (backed by Toyota and Delta), Archer (partnered with Stellantis and United), and Beta (Amazon-funded), Vertical isn’t trying to become the “Uber of the skies.” It just wants to be the Airbus. The Boeing. The hardware provider. It sells the aircraft and locks in recurring revenue via maintenance and annual battery replacements.

That business model is elegant. Simple. And potentially far more profitable.

Mudrick has turned around broken companies before. But this is different. It’s a moonshot with real hardware, real partnerships, and a growing demand base.

Still, this isn’t without risk:

  • Certification hurdles remain high—especially in Europe.

  • Vertical has raised $90 million this year but needs another $1 billion to finish the job.

  • It’s far behind U.S. competitors on funding and market visibility.

But this is what makes the trade asymmetric.

🥇 Winners & Losers

Company

Role/Strategy

Rating (1–10)

Commentary

EVTL (Vertical)

Pure-play OEM model, Mudrick-led turnaround

9/10

High risk, massive upside. Think early Tesla.

JOBY

Full-stack operator + OEM hybrid

8/10

Operational edge, strong capital base.

ACHR (Archer)

Vertiport + urban air mobility ecosystem

7/10

Commercial trials in 2025; strong partnerships.

BLDE (Blade Air)

Early mover in air mobility logistics

6/10

Lacks vertical integration but interesting niche.

BA, LMT, TDY

Aerospace arms suppliers & integrators

7–8/10

Longer-term industrial tailwind.

💣 What to Watch

  • Trump’s Next EO: If Trump issues a federal mandate around drone and eVTOL development (which looks increasingly likely), this sector could see its own “CHIPS Act moment.”

  • FAA Certifications: The bottleneck is regulation. But once cleared, expect a flood of funding.

  • Defense Crossover: eVTOLs could easily pivot into defense contracts—surveillance, logistics, casualty evacuation.

🚀 Bottom Line

Jason Mudrick doesn’t invest in sci-fi. He invests in mispriced future cash flows.

Vertical Aerospace is a long-shot with a short runway and a potentially massive payoff. If it works, it won’t just be a 10-bagger—it’ll be the story you’ll tell your grandkids when flying taxis are as common as Teslas.

This is the kind of early-stage, high-volatility opportunity that asymmetric portfolios are made of.

Recommendation: If you believe in drones, AI logistics, and urban infrastructure plays, a small bet on EVTL belongs in the “venture sleeve” of your public markets exposure. Just remember—it’s not a trade. It’s a moonshot.

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    The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the Chief Executive Officer and Portfolio Manager for Tuttle Capital Management (TCM) and are subject to change without notice. The data and information provided is derived from sources deemed to be reliable but we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Investing in securities is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. Trade notifications are for informational purposes only. TCM offers fully transparent ETFs and provides trade information for all actively managed ETFs. TCM's statements are not an endorsement of any company or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Trade notification files are not provided until full trade execution at the end of a trading day. The time stamp of the email is the time of file upload and not necessarily the exact time of the trades. TCM is not a commodity trading advisor and content provided regarding commodity interests is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation. Investment recommendations for any securities or product may be made only after a comprehensive suitability review of the investor’s financial situation.© 2025 Tuttle Capital Management, LLC (TCM). TCM is a SEC-Registered Investment Adviser. All rights reserved.