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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOxEVkvPaL4

Market Recap

The mini rally ended yesterday, but FOMC is today so anything could happen. Interestingly, didn’t see any real technical damage from the selloff, nothing stood out as breaking down that I would short, and none of my longs broke down to the point I would sell.

NVDA’s GTC event was the main event yesterday…..

Nvidia’s stock falls after GTC. Here’s why Wall Street wasn’t so impressed.-MarketWatch

but this also caught my eye, and perhaps the market’s….

Amazon Undercuts Nvidia With Aggressive AI Chip Discounts-The Information

Not sure the ramifications at the moment, if any, but the Mag 7 all are in clear downtrends. For now I continue to like playing AI from the energy and adopter perspective. I’m not sure who’s going to win in all the critical technology areas, but I do know that we will need more power, and that companies who successfully adopt AI could have an advantage.

Some other interesting news stories yesterday….

Wall Street Isn’t Crazy About Alphabet’s Deal for Wiz-Barron’s

AI Is Moving Out of the Data Center. How Nvidia Wants to Keep Its Edge.-Barron’s

Apple Stock Is a ‘Lower-Risk Way’ to Play AI, Says Analyst-Barron’s

Speaking of AI Power….

Uranium Bulls Get Spooked by Unknowns From Canada to Russia-WSJ

I do like CCJ here…

Speaking of AI Adopters….

Robotics Are the Next Trillion Dollar Industry

Or so Jensen Huang said yesterday. I had GPT take a deep dive on robotics….

Robotics: The Next Trillion-Dollar Industry

Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, recently declared robotics as the next trillion-dollar market opportunity, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), computing power, and sensor technology. This report provides a PhD-level deep dive into the robotics sector, identifying key winners, potential losers, essential suppliers, and realistic timelines for broadly functional robotics applications.

Industry Overview

Robotics encompasses industrial automation, healthcare robotics, consumer robotics, autonomous vehicles, logistics, agriculture, defense, and service robots. Integration with AI and edge computing has accelerated robotic capabilities, allowing real-time decision-making and adaptability in complex environments.

Key Catalysts for Robotics Growth

• AI Integration: Deep learning and reinforcement learning enhance robot autonomy, efficiency, and intelligence.

• Sensor Advancements: Improved sensors (LiDAR, radar, vision systems) enable better perception and navigation.

• Edge Computing: Edge processing allows real-time data handling crucial for autonomous operations.

• Labor Shortages: Persistent labor shortages across industries propel demand for robotic solutions.

• Regulatory Frameworks: Increasingly supportive regulatory environments encourage robotics deployment.

Ranking the Winners: Top Robotics Companies (Scale: 1-10)

1. Nvidia (NVDA): 10/10

   • Role: AI processing and edge computing leader.

   • Advantage: GPU dominance and AI platform ecosystem (Omniverse).

2. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG): 9.5/10

   • Role: Leader in robotic surgery.

   • Advantage: Extensive market share, strong IP, established hospital penetration.

3. Boston Dynamics (Hyundai Motor Group): 9/10

   • Role: Advanced robotics, autonomous robots (Spot, Atlas).

   • Advantage: Cutting-edge innovation, expanding industrial applications.

4. ABB Robotics (ABB): 9/10

   • Role: Industrial robotics and automation solutions.

   • Advantage: Strong industry relationships, global scale.

5. Fanuc (FANUY): 8.5/10

   • Role: Robotics for industrial automation.

   • Advantage: Leading global market share in industrial robotics.

6. Rockwell Automation (ROK): 8.5/10

   • Role: Robotics control systems and industrial automation.

   • Advantage: Extensive software integration and industrial automation infrastructure.

7. Teradyne (TER): 8/10

   • Role: Owner of Universal Robots (collaborative robots).

   • Advantage: Market leadership in collaborative robotics.

8. Yaskawa Electric (YASKY): 8/10

   • Role: Industrial robotics and mechatronics.

   • Advantage: Strong industrial footprint in Asia and manufacturing expertise.

9. Tesla (TSLA): 7.5/10

   • Role: Autonomous robotics and humanoid robotics development.

   • Advantage: Leveraging autonomous driving technology for broader robotics applications.

10. Amazon Robotics (AMZN): 7.5/10

    • Role: Warehouse automation and logistics robots.

    • Advantage: Massive logistics infrastructure and proprietary robotic technologies.

Key Suppliers Poised to Benefit

• Semiconductors & Processing:

  • Nvidia (NVDA)

  • AMD (AMD)

  • Intel (INTC)

• Sensors & Components:

  • Keyence Corp (KYCCF)

  • Cognex (CGNX)

  • Velodyne Lidar (VLDR)

  • Lumentum (LITE)

  • Coherent (COHR)

• Software & Cloud Infrastructure:

  • Alphabet (GOOGL) Cloud AI services

  • Microsoft (MSFT) Azure Robotics platform

  • Amazon (AMZN) AWS RoboMaker

Potential Losers

• Traditional Labor-Intensive Industries:

  • Companies reliant heavily on low-skilled manual labor may face disruptions.

  • Firms slow to adopt robotics and automation technologies risk competitive obsolescence.

• Legacy Automation Firms Slow to Innovate:

  • Older industrial automation providers lagging in AI integration could lose market share to faster innovators like ABB or Fanuc.

Which sectors will see the highest growth? Based on current trends, logistics robotics and healthcare robotics are poised for the fastest growth rates. Logistics is riding the e-commerce wave and pressing labor needs, leading to projections of 20–30% annual growth and the market potentially quadrupling by 2030​ azorobotics.com. Healthcare’s need for automation and precision (plus favorable demographics) suggest very high growth as well (with surgical and care robots multiplying in adoption). Consumer robotics could also see an explosion in growth if a killer app (beyond floor cleaning) takes off – some analysts forecast the household robot market to outpace others in the late 2020s. Manufacturing will keep growing but at a more incremental pace (it’s a large base, growing in single digits or low teens percent). Military robotics grows with defense budgets – strong but more linear and subject to government procurement cycles (though conflict-driven demand can spike it). Notably, an analysis by the International Federation of Robotics expects that by 2030, the market for professional service robots (which includes logistics and healthcare) will reach $170 billion, overtaking the market for traditional industrial robots​ azorobotics.com. This indicates that sectors outside of manufacturing will collectively grow faster and become the majority of the robotics market. In summary, logistics and healthcare are the standout high-growth sectors in the near to mid term, while manufacturing remains the largest by spending and consumer robotics remains an exciting wildcard that could surge with the right innovations.

Functional Robotics Timeline

• Industrial Robotics: Already prevalent; accelerating adoption and sophistication expected within 1-3 years.

• Logistics Robotics: Widespread adoption in warehouses and distribution centers within 2-5 years.

• Healthcare Robotics: Increasingly common surgical robots; wider AI-driven applications anticipated within 5-7 years.

• Consumer and Service Robotics: Early-stage adoption; mass-market penetration likely within 5-10 years.

• Autonomous Vehicles: Broad public adoption and regulatory clearance expected within 5-8 years.

• Advanced Humanoid Robotics: Significant functional deployments realistically 10+ years away.

Strategic Recommendations for Investors

• High Conviction Buys: Nvidia (NVDA), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), ABB Robotics (ABB)

• Selective Long-Term Holds: Boston Dynamics (Hyundai), Fanuc (FANUY), Rockwell Automation (ROK)

• Watch List: Tesla (TSLA), Amazon Robotics (AMZN) for strategic developments

Conclusion

Robotics represents one of the most compelling investment opportunities of the next decade, driven by convergence with AI, edge computing, and sensor technology. Nvidia stands out as the leading beneficiary due to its strategic positioning at the core of AI and edge infrastructure powering robotics. While fully autonomous humanoid robots remain several years away, industrial, logistics, and healthcare robotics provide nearer-term, actionable investment opportunities.

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   The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the Chief Executive Officer and Portfolio Manager for Tuttle Capital Management (TCM) and are subject to change without notice. The data and information provided is derived from sources deemed to be reliable but we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Investing in securities is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. Trade notifications are for informational purposes only. TCM offers fully transparent ETFs and provides trade information for all actively managed ETFs. TCM's statements are not an endorsement of any company or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Trade notification files are not provided until full trade execution at the end of a trading day. The time stamp of the email is the time of file upload and not necessarily the exact time of the trades.TCM is not a commodity trading advisor and content provided regarding commodity interests is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation. Investment recommendations for any securities or product may be made only after a comprehensive suitability review of the investor’s financial situation.© 2025 Tuttle Capital Management, LLC (TCM). TCM is a SEC-Registered Investment Adviser. All rights reserved.