
In Today’s Issue:
Tariff Reversal: Will Trump Retreat or Reload?
NVIDIA Shrugs Off China—and the AI Supercycle Marches On
Why the Shorts Don’t Get Tempus—And Nancy Pelosi Does
and more……..
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For a Prospectus and other important— #Matthew Tuttle (#@TuttleCapital)
2:10 PM • May 28, 2025
Tariff Reversal: Will Trump Retreat or Reload?
Schrodinger's Tariffs. Have they ever really existed?
— #Le Shrub🌳🔥🇺🇦 (#@agnostoxxx)
6:25 AM • May 29, 2025
Goldman Sachs says the recent trade court ruling won’t stop the Trump administration from moving forward with new tariffs. In a note, Alec Phillips writes that even if the IEEPA-based tariffs are struck down, the White House could use Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 to
— #Wall St Engine (#@wallstengine)
8:04 AM • May 29, 2025

this lady opened up a can of worms, Trump is going to nuke us soon watch he's gotta show he's tough with tariffs now
— #jbulltard (#@jbulltard1)
6:45 PM • May 28, 2025
Bullish ATH thesis: Trump takes this as a face saving exit and ends trade war. Bearish thesis he doubles down ...
— #Marko Kolanovic (#@markoinny)
3:11 AM • May 29, 2025
I though the big news of the day would be NVDA earnings, I was wrong. Intraday the TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade started making the rounds of Wall Street. I would argue, as I said yesterday, that spikes in yields have caused him to walk back some statements.
I would also argue that poking the bear is not a good thing. Then after hours came news that the courts ruled he doesn’t have the power to impose tariffs. I’m not a lawyer but I do include a tweet above and below indicating that Goldman thinks he can do it anyway,
Goldman Responds To Trade Court Block Of Trump Tariffs: Nothingburger, White House Can Sidestep
— #zerohedge (#@zerohedge)
3:52 AM • May 29, 2025
but markets are nicely green on this, and NVDA earnings. Now we have uncertainty on what Trump will do from here, which also creates uncertainty about what the Fed will do. I wouldn’t do anything major here until we hear more from Trump and perhaps gain a bit more clarity.
Markets surge on coming constitutional crisis
Anyone believe Trump is going to simply rollover and give up on the signature point of his entire Presidential agenda based on one court ruling?
Taco traders about to get crunched
— #Ross Hendricks (#@Ross__Hendricks)
2:47 AM • May 29, 2025
This is turning out to be one of the 4 most ridiculous trading years I've ever experienced in my life...
Volatility is good for trading, but unreal risk backdrop developing
— #Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) (#@SpecialSitsNews)
1:30 AM • May 29, 2025
Yields are up so far this morning, keep an eye on that
Except that yields are going up with all of this. Big bill of monetary expansion and lost income from tariffs. The bond market is going to punish this and eventually that'll collapse equities. Ticking time bomb IMO.
— #Michael Eli Vineberg (#@M_Vineberg)
12:45 AM • May 29, 2025
We take a deep dive on NVDA earnings below, one key highlight that we hit a few days ago, and will hit again because it’s so big, is robotics……
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang on Robotics:
"The era of robotics is here. Billions of robots, hundreds of millions of autonomous vehicles, and hundreds of thousands of robotic factories and warehouses will be developed."
"The ChatGPT moment for general robotics is just around the
— #Connor Bates (#@ConnorJBates_)
10:10 PM • May 28, 2025
Although, this could be a threat to autonomous vehicles…..
Porter, the world’s first driving dog learned how to drive in just 47 days.
He was trained by a driving school in New Zealand that specializes in teaching dogs to drive.
— #Massimo (#@Rainmaker1973)
10:44 AM • May 28, 2025
Wall Street analysts always behind the curve….
NUCLEAR STOCKS CENTRUS ENERGY, OKLO ENERGY, AND BWX TECHNOLOGIES INITIATED AT OUTPERFORM AT WILLIAM BLAIR -- "BENEFICIARIES OF THE NUCLEAR RENAISSANCE" $LEU $OKLO $BWXT
Centrus Energy $LEU -- "Initiating Coverage at Outperform. Centrus Energy is uniquely positioned as the only
— #Stock Talk (#@stocktalkweekly)
12:05 PM • May 28, 2025
NVIDIA Shrugs Off China—and the AI Supercycle Marches On
I went on Schwab Network yesterday to preview NVDA earnings….
.@TuttleCapital says he's buying the dip on any pullback after $NVDA reports its latest earnings. Would a "blowout" earnings report be enough in the wake of China scrutiny and potential headwinds?
— #Schwab Network (#@SchwabNetwork)
3:05 PM • May 28, 2025
The stock has already rallied so much off the liberation day lows I worried about whether they could do enough to test the year highs, especially since a lot has happened since those highs. Looks like I was wrong, but I still would be looking for dips and wouldn’t buy the rip. What I do think this does is clear the path some more, after the other Mag 7 names, to keep buying back into AI infrastructure. I ran the earnings through GPT and we seem to be on the same page…..
Forget the China charges. Forget the political noise. NVIDIA (NVDA) just proved—again—that it’s not only the AI king, it’s the entire throne room.
On Wednesday, Nvidia reported a jaw-dropping $44.1 billion in quarterly revenue, up 69% year-over-year, and smashed Wall Street’s already aggressive expectations.
Even with a $4.5 billion hit from China export curbs, the company printed $18.8 billion in profit, and signaled more strength to come. You’d think a company losing access to an $8 billion market would blink.
NVIDIA didn’t flinch.
🧠 This Isn’t a GPU Company Anymore
NVIDIA’s edge has never been just about hardware. It’s about control of the AI developer stack. Every chip runs on CUDA—its proprietary software ecosystem that locks in developers like Apple did with iOS.
“The platform that wins the AI developers wins AI.” — Jensen Huang
That’s the crux. While Wall Street obsesses over China and $5.5 billion write-downs, Huang is out in the Middle East, Asia, and now Europe, signing infrastructure deals with sovereign AI buyers.
Think of it this way: Microsoft sells cloud. NVIDIA sells civilization.
📈 The Key Metrics
Metric | Actual | Expectations |
---|---|---|
Revenue | $44.1B | $43.3B |
Net Income | $18.8B | $19.5B (slight miss) |
Gross Margin (adj.) | 71.3% | 71% expected |
Q2 Guidance | $45B (+/– 2%) | $45.5B expected |
Despite a $2.5B sales loss from H20 chip restrictions and an ongoing $8B China headwind, Nvidia's forecast came within 1% of consensus—and gross margins are set to expand to 72% next quarter.
🧠 Strategic Moves
Blackwell chip rollout is on track after early technical snags.
US onshoring: Nvidia is pledging $500 billion toward U.S. manufacturing—a political hedge if Trump wins in November.
Diversification away from Big Tech: Sovereign AI deals in Saudi, UAE, and Europe are insulating NVDA from hyperscaler concentration risk.
🚩 What Bears Are Watching
Revenue guidance barely met whisper numbers
China restrictions are real—$8B in expected lost revenue is not small
Growth from this point must come from non-U.S., non-Big Tech buyers and new markets
But here’s the catch:
Nvidia is already doing that. And no one else is even close.
🏆 Final Verdict: BUY or HOLD. Add on pullbacks.
You do not sell the infrastructure winner of a global arms race—especially not after it just shrugged off a geopolitical gut punch and still printed 69% YoY growth.
If you own it: hold it. If you missed it: wait for a pullback and buy it.
Don’t overthink it. This is Act II of the AI Supercycle, and NVIDIA still owns the script, the stage, and the box office.
👑 Positioning:
Long-term core position (5–10% in tech sleeve)
Bottom Line:
Nvidia just proved it can lose China—and still outgrow the rest of tech. There are few companies in the history of markets that have created demand for $45 billion worth of silicon in one quarter.
This isn’t a chipmaker. This is the foundation of modern AI civilization.
And it’s still a buy.
Why the Shorts Don’t Get Tempus—And Nancy Pelosi Does
Nancy’s been early—and right—on plenty of next-gen names. Tempus AI (TEM) might be the biggest swing yet. But this morning, Spruce Point Capital came out swinging with a short report, arguing that Tempus is just another overhyped diagnostics firm riding an AI label.
In typical hedge fund fashion, they’re measuring the foundation as if it were the house—and missing the entire blueprint.
Shay Boloor’s rebuttal is worth your attention. Because he nails what most public-market investors still don’t get:
WHY SPRUCE GOT IT WRONG ON $TEM
Went through the Spruce short report & shared my full breakdown with subscribers -- but here are the high-level takeaways:
• Spruce misses the point. Tempus isn’t a diagnostics firm posing as tech -- it’s a tech company mining diagnostics for
— #Shay Boloor (#@StockSavvyShay)
4:20 PM • May 28, 2025
Tempus isn’t trying to sell tests. It’s trying to own the interface between human health and machine learning.
1. What Spruce Gets Wrong
Spruce’s core argument boils down to this:
Tempus is overvalued based on 2024–2025 revenue
AI is only 2% of revenue
Ambry (Tempus’s acquisition) is a drag
Reimbursement risk looms large
Here’s why that’s short-term thinking in a long-duration game.
2. The Real Thesis on Tempus (Why Shay and Nancy are Right)
🧠 This Is Not a Diagnostics Company
Tempus runs a data pipeline business. The tests are the toll booth—every sample that goes through its system feeds the ML flywheel. Think Palantir’s Foundry, but for genomics, histology, and clinical trials. The AI revenue today is small—but the data asset is massive.
🔋 Ambry = Inputs, Not Drag
Acquiring Ambry is vertical integration 101. It ensures control of sample quality, logistics, and throughput. Same playbook Amazon used with planes and Tesla with batteries.
You don’t wait for margin; you control the stack and build it.
💊 This Isn’t a Reimbursement Story
Spruce tries to paint Tempus as a billing-code roll-up. But the real bet is that Tempus becomes the “ChatGPT” for your health records—the thing your doctor asks before deciding what to do next. If that interface works, the company becomes indispensable.
3. Winners & Losers in This Fight
Name | Rating | Why It Wins (or Loses) |
---|---|---|
TEM | 9/10 | Still early—but the infrastructure, data flywheel, and AI vision are intact. |
PLTR | 8/10 | Same playbook, different vertical. Proof that “AI interface layers” can scale. |
QSI | 6/10 | Another small-cap genomics AI name. High upside, but thin moat vs. Tempus. |
EXAS | 5/10 | Diagnostic firm without the software stack—at risk if Tempus scales. |
ILMN | 4/10 | Losing share in both hardware and bioinformatics as vertical players emerge. |
Spruce | 3/10 | Good at accounting screens. Weak on platform vision. |
4. Should You Add, Hold, or Sell?
Hold with conviction—and consider adding on dips.
Yes, valuation is rich. Yes, revenue is skewed toward diagnostics. But that’s always the case in the early stages of a data-platform company. Just like Palantir in 2020 or Axon before SaaS flipped the business model.
If Tempus turns its clinical pipeline into a sticky AI interface—used by oncologists, trial sponsors, and health systems—the monetization paths are exponential.
5. GPTs Positioning Strategy
Core position (3–5%) in long-term AI-health portfolio
Use volatility from short-seller hits to accumulate
Track AI revenue share and usage data—not just booked revenue
Look for strategic partnerships (hospitals, payers, life sciences) as leading indicators
Bottom Line
Spruce is measuring the wrong thing. This is not a company selling tests. It’s a company building the pipes through which future healthcare flows.
Shay Boloor said it best: Tempus is not about reimbursement codes—it’s about becoming the medical interface layer.
Nancy was early. The shorts are early—for the wrong reasons.
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